Jane Street–styleTraderTraderQuestion #32
Given two fair dice, what is the probability that both show six if it is observed that at least one die shows a six?
Free worked solution · Quant Blueprint
1/11.
- The condition leaves the six pairs (6,1),…,(6,6) and the five additional pairs (1,6),…,(5,6).
- All eleven are equally likely because the original 36 ordered outcomes were equally likely. Only (6,6) has two sixes.
- Equivalently P(both six | at least one six) = (1/36)/(11/36) = 1/11.
Common mistake
If a specified die is known to show six, the answer is 1/6. That is a different observation from at least one die showing six.
Follow-up
For an independent face with probability p on each die, P(both | at least one) = p²/(2p−p²) = p/(2−p).
Original educational explanation for this practice question. Reviewed . Firm-style practice; the label describes the collection’s preparation context.
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