Jane Street–styleInternInternQuestion #523

Three coins are in a bag. The first coin flips heads with probability 50%, the second coin flips heads with probability 60%, and the third coin flips heads with probability 70%. I pull out a coin at random and flip it; it lands heads. If I flip this coin again, what is the probability it will land heads?

Build Your Approach

State the assumptions, try a simple case, then work toward a general solution. Check the result and explain how it changes if an assumption changes.

Try the free diagnostic with worked solutions →

Get Free Interview Prep Resources

Practice the Reasoning Behind the Answer

Bring your target roles and interview timeline to a free quant consult. Discuss your preparation priorities and how Quant Blueprint’s lessons, practice and mock interviews can help.

Book a Free Quant Consult

Your goals · your preparation · your next steps