Jane Street–styleTraderTradingQuestion #447
You are going camping over the weekend. There is a 50% chance of rain on Saturday and a 60% chance on Sunday. What is the probability that you will not experience rain? (You are not told whether the days are independent, so consider this in your answer.) Then, after giving your answer, assume the probabilities are not independent and are positively correlated. Will the chance of having a 'dry' weekend increase or decrease?
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More Jane Street–Style Trader Questions
A car has a uniformly distributed value between 0 and 1000. If you bid less than this value, you get nothing but keep your bid. If you bid more than this value, you can sell the car for 1.5 times the value. What should you bid? The surface of a 3x3 block is painted. The block is split into 27 cubes and one is dropped on the floor. What is the probability that no visible face is painted? If no visible face is painted, what is the probability that it is the center cube?You flip 4 fair coins and receive $1 for each coin that lands heads. What is the expected value of your total winnings?If you roll two dice, and you have the option to roll again and get paid the highest roll, when is it optimal to reroll?What is 2,000,000 minus 2,022?How many digits does 99 raised to the 99th power have?
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